Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.491065 5.183820 5.947445 6.851623 7.893130 9.055427 10.451367
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.438600 4.315459 5.364354 6.711558 8.396749 10.436364 13.094935
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.859372 3.860594 5.146813 6.920480 9.304699 12.402098 16.738605
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.322845 3.348354 4.752655 6.816412 9.775262 13.870676 19.983544
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.076512 3.175918 4.770932 7.253943 11.027613 16.558929 25.307441
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.842725 2.975002 4.706642 7.547958 12.102277 19.136314 30.865966
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.600351 2.715660 4.506178 7.589956 12.781205 21.194399 35.924233
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.327028 2.358424 4.090504 7.210883 12.708192 22.024363 39.089606
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.219145 2.262241 4.089139 7.521451 13.830474 24.977135 46.275532
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.158761 2.239168 4.207586 8.054592 15.413508 28.933965 55.812943
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.059739 2.127863 4.147880 8.245795 16.385820 31.904948 63.936006
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.963795 2.006984 4.050977 8.347097 17.191829 34.657142 72.011673
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.835456 1.805628 3.776534 8.071649 17.243380 36.015191 77.650228
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.719825 1.612549 3.490492 7.728433 17.102819 36.964281 82.588735
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.661009 1.532982 3.430080 7.858039 17.991844 40.190734 92.941080
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.584935 1.402759 3.240908 7.673449 18.157074 41.874970 100.110860
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.563051 1.394631 3.323305 8.122771 19.840352 47.187523 116.489852
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.532636 1.361227 3.342259 8.424469 21.219537 51.994097 132.404133
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.488902 1.287951 3.255481 8.454379 21.939105 55.333059 145.214112
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.425379 1.154153 3.000761 8.022278 21.429614 55.587088 150.212253
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.407623 1.138049 3.040909 8.361423 22.971376 61.229753 170.218540
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.402083 1.154215 3.167172 8.949879 25.268089 69.156350 197.625551
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.379993 1.120771 3.156167 9.159692 26.557748 74.584799 218.942849